Projection tracking

Locked projections, graded in public

Lukà's preseason numbers were locked on October 29, 2026 and can't be edited. After every game they're compared with what actually happened.

Grading starts with the first regular-season game. Exhibition numbers are shown for context only.

Projected vs. actual

PlayerStatProjectedActualDiffAbs. errorExhibitions
John BlackwellPPG 16.4——— 20.5
Patrick Ngongba IIPPG 14.5——— 20.5
Minutes 27——— 25.5
FGA 8——— 9.0
Overall PPG error
— after game 1
Regular-season games graded
0
Players projected
2

Ngongba: Raised from 12.6 PPG after the two exhibitions, before the regular season.

Running pace

Cumulative points per game after each game. The dashed line is the locked projection. Hollow dots are exhibitions.

John Blackwell

012.525 Projection 16.4 10/2010/25
Blackwell: cumulative PPG in exhibitions (not graded)

Patrick Ngongba II

012.525 Projection 14.5 10/2010/25
Ngongba: cumulative PPG in exhibitions (not graded)

Grading rules